As I wrote in my last year’s post, I think we’ll be able to look back. I can say that there is an improvement in 2021 as compared to 2020. I think it’s true somehow. Millions of people have been vaccinated against Kovid-19. The world is a bit closer to normal. However, my expectations did not improve dramatically.
Because of the Corona Delta type and vaccination challenges, we are not as close to ending the epidemic now as I had hoped. I did not predict that such a highly contagious form of corona would occur. I underestimate how difficult it can be for people to get vaccinated and continue to use masks.
I am hopeful that the end of the epidemic is finally coming. Another prediction would be foolish. However, I think the acute phase of the epidemic will stop for some time in 2022.
There is no doubt that amicron is a worrying type. Researchers are working on an urgent basis to learn more about this. We will get more information soon.
But what we do know is that the world is better prepared to deal with the potentially harmful types of corona than any other stage of the epidemic. We’ve identified this type faster than we’ve identified Delta before. We are in a better position to produce updated vaccines if needed.
Kovid-19 will become a local disease
Anxiety is always a problem when a new type emerges. However, I am still hopeful that Kovid-19 will become a local disease in most places at some point next year. Although it is currently about 10 times more deadly than the flu. However, vaccines and antivirals can reduce this number by half or more. Different communities will still see occasional outbreaks. However, new drugs will be readily available, which may work in most cases. Hospitals will be able to deal with the rest. Your personal risk level will be significantly reduced. As a result, you do not have to give it enough weight in your decision making. Whether or not to go to work in the office, let your kids go to play football, or let them watch movies in theaters is not a major concern when deciding. My hope is that in a few years, when you get your Covid and Flu vaccines together every autumn, you will only think of your virus.
Learning from the epidemic
We can learn important things from the world’s response to the Covid-19, which will prepare us better in the future. The progress we have made in the field of vaccination is remarkable. The world has not developed and distributed vaccines for any disease faster than Kovid-19. I think mRNA vaccines will ultimately be seen as the most significant progression of the epidemic. Now that mRNA is well-established, we will be able to develop a much safer and more effective vaccine in the future.
Many people have recently asked me if I am still optimistic about the future. The answer is yes, but optimism does not mean ignoring the problem. I am particularly concerned about a challenge.
The epidemic is a big test for good governance. When the epidemic comes to an end, it will be a show of respect for global cooperation and innovation. At the same time this era has shown us how the loss of confidence in government institutions is creating obvious problems. And it is complicating our efforts to meet the challenges.
Our governments need to take steps to make progress on challenges such as avoiding climate disasters or preventing subsequent epidemics. But lack of confidence makes them difficult to be effective. If your people don’t trust you, they won’t support big new initiatives.
Confidence is declining around the world. But this trend of declining confidence in the government did not start in 2020. The epidemic has only made clear what is already happening.
Who or what is responsible for this? It is clear that the issue of increasing polarization in this case is a significant driving force. There are many reasons for the growing division. Among them is the rise of the 24-hour news cycle and social media. I am particularly interested in understanding the next point.
Social media has played a big role in spreading misinformation, making people suspicious of their government